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[AGA-mcm] Proposal tacitly accepted by AGA



Well Spring is here and we haveln't even seen a draft of a
proposal.

I think SFBAAPS feels like they're going to do the
convention and the longer this preproposal "planning" goes
on, the more they are going to feel like they've been
working in good faith and if the AGA doesn't let them do
the convention, well, then that will be viewed as an act of
bad faith. The longer this goes on, the harder it will be
to turn them down (for 2005 or 2006) if it comes to that.
And it could  come to that, we haven't seen any numbers
that suggest this thing can work.

They have a lot of motion going on that would best have
been done last year if 2005 was the intended convention
year. There are a number of unanswered questions (e.g., see
Larry's recent list) that suggests they are not anywhere
near putting a proposal together. 

I'm inclined to tell them we should all be aiming at 2006.
Plenty of time then to work things out. I also think the
sooner we focus on 2006 and drop 2005 out of the picture,
the better. If we wait until we actually have a proposal
and then take time to consider it, then decide if 2005 is
doable, I think it's going to be too far down the road to
to try to turn back.

I think it's conceivable to do a decent convention in 2005,
if most of the ducks are in order. But I think we have the
opposite situation here; key ducks are in diff ponds --
we're not even sure who the ducks are. Add that to the
points that David makes and 2005 doesn't look like a good
idea. In fact, I think it looks like a high risk for a
badly organized, redundant convention with high prices and
low attendance.

I don't think a good convention can be rushed and a
convention in 2005 is not possible without its being
rushed.

sh
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